- The over on Texas A&M’s team total of 27.5 points is one of the best bets for when the Aggies host the LSU Tigers this weekend.
- The best player props for Texas A&M vs LSU are on the overs for Le’Veon Moss's rushing yards and Aaron Anderson's receiving yards because sportsbooks overreacted to both of their performances last week.
COLLEGE STATION, Texas – The best bets for Texas A&M vs LSU are props. Specifically, bettors should look to take the overs on the Aggies team total of 27.5 points (-120), the Le’Veon Moss rushing yards prop of 85.5 yards (-114), and the Aaron Anderson receiving yards prop of 50.5 (-114).
Betting on the Texas A&M Team Total Over 27.5 Points vs LSU
The 27.5-point line set at betting sites with college football team totals is a relatively fair number when considering that the Texas A&M offense has averaged 31.4 points this season and 28.4 points when playing their SEC opponents or Notre Dame instead of the lower-level defenses of McNeese State and Bowling Green.
But, when going beyond surface-level stats, the team total for Texas A&M may be as much as ten points too low. That’s because the stats don’t factor in how much better the A&M offense has been with Conner Weigman under center.
These two trends for the Texas A&M offense with Conner Weigman at quarterback suggest that the team total over is one of the best bets for the home game against LSU:
- 37.5 Points: That’s how many points per game the Texas A&M offense has averaged in games this season that Conner Weigman starts. The team’s average points with Weigman jump to 42.3 per game if you remove A&M’s first game of the season when they only scored 13 against Notre Dame.
- 75%: Since the start of last season, Texas A&M has scored more than 27.5 points in 75% of Conner Weigman’s starts.
- 30.5 Points: In Conner Weigman’s career, Texas A&M has averaged 30.6 points per game in SEC play. In those seven games, the Aggies have scored less than 27.5 points twice. Both of those games were against Auburn.
Betting on Le’Veon Moss Over 85.5 Rushing Yards vs LSU
Le’Veon Moss had his fewest rushing yards of the season last week against Mississippi State when he had 65. That season-low total has caused college football player prop to set his line at 85.5 yards, which is too low when considering how well Moss had played in his previous four games.
Le’Veon Moss Past Five Games
- 10/19 vs Mississippi State: 65 yards on 17 carries
- 10/5 vs Missouri: 138 yards on 12 carries
- 9/28 vs Arkansas: 117 yards on 13 carries
- 9/21 vs Bowling Green: 90 yards on 16 carries
- 9/14 vs Florida: 110 yards on 18 carries
Those Le’Veon Moss stats show that he averaged 113.8 rushing yards per game in his four previous games.
Given that recent production, it is a good bet that Moss will get back on track and go for more than 85.5 yards against LSU and payout bettors who take the wager with -114 odds.
Betting on Aaron Anderson Over 50.5 Receiving Yards vs Texas A&M
Similar to the logic for betting on Le’Veon Moss, college football prop betting sites have seemingly thrown away Aaron Anderson’s production all season and set his receiving yards line at 50.5 because of his most recent game. Anderson had only 36 yards versus Arkansas last week.
In every other game this season, Aaron Anderson has more than 60 yards receiving.
If Aaron Anderson had a receiving prop set at 50.5 yards every week this season, the over would have hit 86% of the time.
That strong history may even make the over on the Aaron Anderson 50.5 receiving yards prop the best bet for LSU vs Texas A&M.
Where To Bet On Player Props For Texas A&M vs LSU
To bet on any player props for the Texas A&M vs LSU matchup bettors will need to use either Bovada or BetOnline.
This story uses Bovada because it typically has the best odds at college football prop betting sites in Texas. But, it’s also important to note that Bovada does not accept players from Louisiana and locally regulated sportsbooks in the state can’t offer CFB player props. Because of that, BetOnline is the top option among Louisiana college football player prop betting sites.
