- Odds have Texas as an 11-point favorite over Clemson in the College Football Playoff.
- Clemson is 0-3 vs. SEC opponents on the road.
- Texas is 4-3 ATS as a home team.
AUSTIN, Texas – This matchup between Texas and Clemson in the College Football Playoff marks the first time in history that these two programs will meet and Texas is a heavy favorite to win at home.
While this might seem like too large of a spread set by college football prop betting sites, signs are pointing towards Texas staying true to their odds and covering in the win.
Clemson vs. Texas
- Moneyline: Clemson (+330) vs. Texas (-440)
- Spread: Texas -11
- Total: 51.5
Betting Trends Siding With Texas
All signs are pointing towards Texas pulling off a convincing win over Clemson at home and cashing on the spread on college football sportsbooks. While Texas sits at just a 7-6 record against the spread this season, the strength comes on their average winning margin of 21.2 points.
As a home team favorite this season, they’re 4-3 ATS with a 29.3 winning margin and +1.3 cover margin. In their last 10 games as a double digit favorite between 10-12 points, they are 9-1 straight up and 5-4-1 against the spread.
Clemson this season hasn’t been all that against the spread with a 6-7 record and -0.8 cover margin. Things slightly get better when playing on the road with a 2-2 ATS record and +2.5 cover margin. As an outright underdog this season in two games, they are 1-1 against the spread with an awful -7.5 cover margin and -14 losing margin. Also, outside of playing South Carolina each year, they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three meetings against the SEC on the road.
Looking at the defensive stats, things line up with Texas being able to cover as well. The Longhorns allow 12.5 points per game to opponents while Clemson lets up 22.3 points to opponents.
